Poll Shows Opposition to Abortion Ban; 11 points ahead for Abbott over Beto | News
AUSTIN — About 54% of registered voters in Texas oppose or strongly oppose banning abortion, according to a new UT/Texas Politics Project poll released Wednesday.
The survey asked Texans to give their position on several major issues impacting the state, including abortions, the economy, border security and voting preferences. The poll was conducted April 14-22 among 1,200 registered voters in Texas, before the U.S. Supreme Court’s draft opinion was leaked, he said.
“Our latest poll found little change in the existing pattern of responses to the question, ‘Do you support or oppose an automatic ban on all abortions in Texas if the U.S. Supreme Court overturns Roe v. Wade? ?'” TPP Executive Director Jim Henson said in a statement. statement.
Among Texas Democrats, 80% oppose a ban compared to 34% of Republicans. About 57% of independents also oppose an abortion ban, according to the poll.
Texas has been at the forefront of reducing access to abortion. The state made waves last year when its Heartbeat Law, also known as Senate Bill 8, banned abortions after a heartbeat was detected, about six weeks pregnant before most people don’t know they are pregnant.
This law survived United States Supreme Court review and continues to be the law of the land today, already replicated in other states.
But after a SCOTUS advisory on an abortion case in Mississippi leaked on Monday, it has become all but eminent that Roe v. States.
If finalized, likely in June, Texas will be one of 12 states to immediately or very quickly ban abortions.
Last summer, the Texas Legislature passed trigger legislation that would go into effect 30 days after the release of a Supreme Court decision. The trigger law would make all abortions illegal and make it a crime for doctors to perform the procedure.
About 42% of Texans strongly oppose an automatic ban on all abortions, according to the poll. About 21% strongly support the ban, 14% somewhat support and 12% somewhat oppose the law, he said.
“Unbalanced public opinion does not always lead to such earthquakes, and attitudes towards abortion have always been complex. But if the opinion that has been leaked takes effect, there won’t be many gray areas — and it will give Democrats in Texas an opportunity to change the subject of election agenda items that have so far benefited Republicans,” Henson said. .
Other areas of concern captured by the poll include the rapid growth of the state, the economy and border security.
The poll found that only a minority of Texans believe the state’s booming population growth is good for Texas.
Texas gained four million new residents over the past decade, according to 2020 U.S. Census data. Another census report released in December found the state gained more than 310,000 new residents between July 2020 and July 2021.
The pain is being felt in a variety of ways, including in real estate where a surge in newcomers combined with a low housing stock is sending home prices — and therefore valuations — skyrocketing.
Of those who said they were aware of the growth, 34% said they thought the growth was good for the state while 40% said it was bad. About 25% said they had no opinion.
That boiled down to 42% of Democrats saying growth was good for the state while 52% of Republicans said it was bad,
“While it’s been a talking point for a generation of Republican incumbents to cite relocations to Texas and booming growth as a sign of state superiority and good management, more Republicans than Democrats told us that population growth has been bad for the state,” Henson said.
Polls have found that these pessimistic views of the state’s population growth accompany other bleak assessments: 43% say their family’s economic situation is worse than a year ago, with the most Texans saying so in 42 polls since 2009, he said.
Governor Greg Abbott has been particularly spirited on the subject, recently encouraging Texas-based Elon Musk via Twitter to move the social media platform to the Lone Star State after the board approved the purchase of the company by Musk in April.
But while most Texans may not be growth-friendly, a majority say border security and immigration are the state’s top issues.
Among Republicans, 37% ranked border security and 24% chose immigration as the state’s top priority. The approval comes even as the state spends about $4 billion at the border this fiscal year.
About 32%, mostly Republicans, say the state spends too little on border security, while 40% say it spends too much. Another 20% think the state is spending the right amount.
In addition, support for Operation Lone Star deployments varied even more widely across parties than in the item assessing state spending alone, the poll found. Among Republicans, 90% expressed support for the deployment and only 5% opposed it, while among Democrats, 19% supported the deployment of state resources while 66% opposed it. Among the independents, 45% expressed their support and 34% their opposition.
Even so, Abbott maintains an 11-point lead over his Democratic challenger for governor Beto O’Rourke, with most voters remaining partisan.
Of these, Abbott led among white Texans 60% to 29%, while O’Rourke led among Hispanics 45% to 36% and among black Texans 62% to 13%.
But O’Rourke’s biggest fight will be capturing independents where 52% view him unfavorably, according to the poll.
O’Rourke used the recent abortion bombshell as a rallying point for his supporters, saying on Twitter, “It’s on us Texas people. We must do everything in our power to organise, earn and protect reproductive health care.