Gallup poll shows 89% of Armenians oppose placing Artsakh under Azeri rule – Panorama


By Harut Sassounyan


Publisher, The California Courier

In a poll by the International Gallup Association from May 26-28, 2022, 89.3% of Armenian citizens surveyed said it was unacceptable to them “if the population of Artsakh is granted national minority status in Azerbaijan “. Only 4.4% of respondents found it acceptable.

51% of respondents were negatively inclined to the results of the May 22 trilateral meeting of Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, the President of Azerbaijan. Ilham Aliyev and European Union President Charles Michel in Brussels. Only 34.7% of respondents rated the meeting positively. The Armenian and Azerbaijani leaders had agreed to unblock transport links between the two countries and establish a route between mainland Azerbaijan and Nakhchivan through Armenian territory.

Respondents believed that Armenia could receive weapons from: Russia (48.1%), France (13.9%), United States (6.4%), Iran (1.7%), CSTO – – Collective Security Treaty Organization (1.1%), NATO (0.5%) and UN Security Council (0.1%).

In an earlier poll conducted April 2-6, 2022 by the International Gallup Association, 57.2% of respondents did not believe that “the current Armenian authorities will be able to sign a peace agreement with Azerbaijan on terms acceptable in the interests of Artsakh and Armenia.” 30.4% thought it would be possible.

In response to the question who is responsible for the tension created in and around Artsakh, 43.8% said it was Azerbaijan, 27% said the Armenian authorities were responsible, 14.1% said Russian peacekeepers, 6.1% said Artsakh authorities and 3.5% blame Turkey.

47.7% of respondents gave a negative assessment of Prime Minister Pashinyan’s work, while 38.8% rated it positive.

Survey respondents were almost evenly split between those who said Pashinyan should quit (41.7%) and those who said he shouldn’t (38.7%).

When asked which political party they would vote for if elections were held today, 20.4% said they would support the ruling Civil Contract party, 12% expressed support for both parliamentary parties opposition and 1.7% to “prosperous Armenia”. However, 28.8% of those polled said they would not vote for any party. The ruling party’s rating fell by 70.4% when Pashinyan first came to power in 2018, and has fallen further from the 53.9% of the vote his party received in the 20 June 2021.

When asked how they “assessed the current political situation in Armenia”, 66.5% (two-thirds) of respondents gave a negative answer, while only 22.3% had a positive opinion.

Asked about their solution to the current political situation in the country, 27.6% did not see the need for change, 26.6% suggested holding new legislative elections, 21.8% favored the formation of a transitional government and 11.4% wanted more pressure to be exerted. on the opposition.

45.6% were against recent opposition street protests, while 32.5% said they were in favor.

46.1% supported the confrontational conduct of Armenian police with protesters, while 37.2% were critical.

Asked whether survey respondents were “for establishing diplomatic relations with Turkey without preconditions and opening borders”, 68% said they were against, while only 26.3% were in favor. .

In conclusion, the Armenian society is strongly divided on the internal problems of the country. There are those who support Prime Minister Pashinyan and those who prefer that he be replaced. Nevertheless, Pashinyan’s popularity has deteriorated considerably in Armenia and most likely in the Diaspora compared to his extraordinary initial popularity in 2018.

On the critical issues facing Armenia vis-à-vis Azerbaijan and Turkey, most Armenians are very negatively disposed to any concessions in order to improve relations with their two hostile neighboring countries.

Respondents to many of the above questions left no doubt that the prime minister’s frequent assertion that he has “the people’s mandate” is no longer true. Pashinyan and his political party’s ratings have dropped significantly, especially after Armenia’s devastating defeat in the 2020 war. His political party won last year’s parliamentary elections with around 25% of registered voters , which is a small percentage of the total population of Armenia.

Since no such poll is conducted throughout the Diaspora, no one knows Pashinyan’s exact rating among Diaspora Armenians. Everything indicates that its rating in the diaspora has suffered a dizzying fall just like in Armenia. Therefore, despite the Prime Minister’s extremely high rating when he came to power in 2018, his supporters now form a much smaller portion of Armenians in Armenia and in the Diaspora.

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